Hellofresh Se Stock Performance

HLFFF Stock  USD 6.03  0.54  8.22%   
HelloFresh has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.58, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning HelloFresh are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, HelloFresh is likely to outperform the market. HelloFresh SE right now retains a risk of 4.79%. Please check out HelloFresh downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if HelloFresh will be following its current trending patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in HelloFresh SE are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, HelloFresh is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow729 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-321.6 M
  

HelloFresh Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  610.00  in HelloFresh SE on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (7.00) from holding HelloFresh SE or give up 1.15% of portfolio value over 90 days. HelloFresh SE is currently producing 0.0948% returns and takes up 4.791% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 43% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than HelloFresh, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon HelloFresh is expected to generate 1.19 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.42 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

HelloFresh Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of HelloFresh Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.03 90 days 6.03 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HelloFresh to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This HelloFresh SE probability density function shows the probability of HelloFresh Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon HelloFresh SE has a beta of -0.58. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HelloFresh are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HelloFresh SE is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HelloFresh SE has an alpha of 0.0379, implying that it can generate a 0.0379 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   HelloFresh Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HelloFresh

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HelloFresh SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.246.0310.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.645.4310.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.735.5210.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-1.946.6015.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HelloFresh. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HelloFresh's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HelloFresh's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HelloFresh SE.

HelloFresh Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HelloFresh is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HelloFresh's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HelloFresh SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HelloFresh within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.58
σ
Overall volatility
0.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

HelloFresh Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HelloFresh for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HelloFresh SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HelloFresh SE had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

HelloFresh Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HelloFresh Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HelloFresh's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HelloFresh's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding168.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments835.5 M

HelloFresh Fundamentals Growth

HelloFresh Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of HelloFresh, and HelloFresh fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on HelloFresh Pink Sheet performance.

About HelloFresh Performance

By analyzing HelloFresh's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into HelloFresh's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if HelloFresh has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if HelloFresh has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
HelloFresh SE delivers meal kit solutions to prepare home-cooked meals using its recipes. HelloFresh SE was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Berlin, Germany. HELLOFRESH is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about HelloFresh SE performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about HelloFresh for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for HelloFresh SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HelloFresh SE had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating HelloFresh's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate HelloFresh's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing HelloFresh's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether HelloFresh's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining HelloFresh's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating HelloFresh's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of HelloFresh's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of HelloFresh's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into HelloFresh's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating HelloFresh's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact HelloFresh's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for HelloFresh Pink Sheet analysis

When running HelloFresh's price analysis, check to measure HelloFresh's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HelloFresh is operating at the current time. Most of HelloFresh's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HelloFresh's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HelloFresh's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HelloFresh to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
AI Portfolio Prophet
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities